Crossover from antipersistent to persistent behavior in time series possessing the generalyzed dynamic scaling law.

نویسندگان

  • Alexander S Balankin
  • Oswaldo Morales Matamoros
  • Ernesto Gálvez
  • Alfonso Pérez
چکیده

The behavior of crude oil price volatility is analyzed within a conceptual framework of kinetic roughening of growing interfaces. We find that the persistent long-horizon volatilities satisfy the Family-Viscek dynamic scaling ansatz, whereas the mean-reverting in time short horizon volatilities obey the generalized scaling law with continuously varying scaling exponents. Furthermore we find that the crossover from antipersistent to persistent behavior is accompanied by a change in the type of volatility distribution. These phenomena are attributed to the complex avalanche dynamics of crude oil markets and so a similar behavior may be observed in a wide variety of physical systems governed by avalanche dynamics.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

On The Behavior of Malaysian Equities: Fractal Analysis Approach

Fractal analyzing of continuous processes have recently emerged in literatures in various domains. Existence of long memory in many processes including financial time series have been evidenced via different methodologies in many literatures in past decade, which has inspired many recent literatures on quantifying the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) characteristics of financial time series. Th...

متن کامل

Airway pressure alters wavelet fractal dynamics and short-range dependence of respiratory variability.

We sought to quantify the autocorrelation properties and fractal dynamics of interbreath interval (IBI) variability to see if short-term airway pressure (Paw) increases affected scaling behaviour. Data were collected in anaesthetised children at basal (Ba), medium (Me) and high (Hi) Paw. Consistent with short-range dependence, the autocorrelation function was significant at five (Ba) to three (...

متن کامل

Scaling characteristics of ULF geomagnetic fields at the Guam seismoactive area and their dynamics in relation to the earthquake

The long-term evolution of scaling (fractal) characteristics of the ULF geomagnetic fields in the seismoactive region of the Guam Island is studied in relation to the strong (Ms = 8.0) nearby earthquake of 8 August 1993. The selected period covers 10 months before and 10 months after the earthquake. The FFT procedure, Burlaga-Klein approach and Higuchi method, have been applied to calculate the...

متن کامل

Water Flooding Performance Evaluation Using Percolation Theory

Water flooding is a well-known secondary mechanism for improving oil recovery. Conventional approach to evaluate the performance of a water flooding process (e.g. breakthrough and post breakthrough behavior) is to establish a reliable geological reservoir model, upscale it, and then perform flow simulations. To evaluate the uncertainty in the breakthrough time or post breakthrough behavior, thi...

متن کامل

Generalized (m,k)-Zipf law for fractional Brownian motion-like time series with or without effect of an additional linear trend

We have translated fractional Brownian motion (FBM) signals into a text based on two ”letters”, as if the signal fluctuations correspond to a constant stepsize random walk. We have applied the Zipf method to extract the ζ′ exponent relating the word frequency and its rank on a loglog plot. We have studied the variation of the Zipf exponent(s) giving the relationship between the frequency of occ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics

دوره 69 3 Pt 2  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2004